That is not what they’re requested to consider. I learn Russia’s Kremlin-dominated media propaganda when there is a disaster to know what’s being stated, and the narrative there over the previous couple of weeks is not a couple of Russian buildup. It is all concerning the West being confrontational. The media would not say there’s 150k troops on the Ukrainian border, it says that Western international locations are hysterical as Russia conducts routine drills, and that NATO is utilizing this as an excuse to quickly militarize close to Russia. On the similar time they’re saying that Ukraine has relocated greater than half its military to the Donbas border and is making ready an all-out brutal assault. And naturally they do not overlook to repeat, many occasions, that the US is behind every thing the Ukrainian authorities is doing (that is a recurring factor in Russian propaganda, every thing is framed as Russia vs the US and anybody else is a pawn).
I do not know if Russia will truly go forward with an invasion or not, but when they do, the Russian media will not be saying that they determined to invade. They’ll say that Ukraine is shelling Donbas (effectively, they’re already saying that). They’ll describe, intimately, assaults they attribute to Ukraine. There could be one thing like mass shelling of Stanitsa Luhanskaya with civilian casualties, a chemical assault in Horlivka, reviews of unspecified Ukrainian items coming into villages and executing Russians. Then there could be a name for assist from Pushylin and the Russian military gloriously arriving to cease the continued massacres. Then there could be an operation with some fancy new time period to proceed additional. In Georgia, they referred to as it “forcing Georgia to be peaceable”, right here they’d give you one thing new, like “eradicating Kiev’s functionality to conduct genocide”.
Do not forget that opposition to Putin is generally younger, educated individuals within the main cities. That is a small a part of the inhabitants. Most Russians have no idea a international language, and lots of of those that know English have fundamental conversational abilities however not sufficient to comply with political reporting even when they wished to. So no matter occurs in Ukraine now, most Russians will likely be getting the state media model of occasions.